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Why Your Performance Max + Meta Ads Are Not Working
John Moran analyzes an account that has a 40% decline in traffic and 81% drop in sessions by socials. He dives into the account to figure out what’s causing the declines. He also discusses why running Performance Max campaigns and Meta Ads for this particular business might be causing more harm than good, the potential risks and benefits of different advertising strategies, including the importance of balancing profitability and scale. He then suggests alternative strategies and where to focus on to achieve business growth. Listen to this episode to learn more.
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0:00 Intro
0:19 When Performance Max with Meta Ads Might Be a Bad Mix for Your Advertising Efforts
6:50 Decline in new customers
13:27 Strategies recommended by John
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Transcript
So what the Facebook in app shows is, wow, we spent 81 percent
2
:less and made 41 percent more
revenue for the lack of top line.
3
:Yeah.
4
:So this is going to be a slow death
5
:What other marketing does he run facebook?
6
:yeah, and asked for access to his
facebook so that Pleasant and I can
7
:look at What they're doing because
he said in the meeting I had with him
8
:that they've switched from outbound to
mostly remarketing in their facebook
9
:So we wanted to go in there and double
check he's only running PMAX in there.
10
:So we've talked about relaunching standard
shopping and seeing what, but pending
11
:what they're doing in Facebook, cause
we want to actually see it for ourselves
12
:and not just take his word for it.
13
:not only did he switch heavily
to remarketing, he also,
14
:it looks like pulled back.
15
:This 30 days compared to previous 30 days.
16
:So there's an overall drop of
24%, which I would imagine, did
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:that sometime around March 20th.
18
:Yes.
19
:we met the end of April,
for the first time.
20
:And he had mentioned recently
switching over the PMAX.
21
:So there's a 40 percent loss in traffic
and 81 percent drop in sessions by social.
22
:let's just say he had
a UTM whoopsie daisy.
23
:that would mean that direct
would go up and it's not.
24
:So it's definitely a pullback.
25
:which pullback search, pullback,
direct pullback, direct sales.
26
:now search is up here, but the reason
why Facebook has now attributed is
27
:they did go probably towards more
remarketing, so what the Facebook in
28
:app shows is, wow, we spent 81 percent
less and may 41 percent more revenue.
29
:For the lack of top line.
30
:So this is going to be a slow death,
but the bad part is now it's going to be
31
:solely up to Google to bring in the new
traffic, which we're using a platform.
32
:That's just going to try
to hover at that point.
33
:this is also reducing
sales here that we can see.
34
:So there needs to be a
prospecting source somewhere.
35
:and I think that the prospecting source.
36
:my opinion would be I would be going
after the angle of election season and
37
:instability in the socioeconomic climates.
38
:that would be my recommendation.
39
:How's the pricing competitively?
40
:from what I understand, it's, fairly
competitive not like the cheapest,
41
:So they sell Dura Steel is the brand
they just started putting on Amazon.
42
:Apparently.
43
:But I couldn't find anything with
their company brand, within Amazon,
44
:but he said they're on there.
45
:I'm hoping to clear that up with him.
46
:Gotcha.
47
:Gotcha.
48
:Gotcha.
49
:So water distiller, distill water
machine, classic distiller, distill.
50
:So I think one of the reasons why
we're seeing a stability is obviously
51
:it's a lot of good cold traffic.
52
:No, one's really looking
for the brand name.
53
:but right here, best hit
the fan water filter.
54
:This is that pepper thing right there.
55
:this is definitely gonna be
a prepper type of mantra.
56
:I would share this with them.
57
:Just say, hey, by the way,
with remarketing pulling back,
58
:we're having obviously a lot
of good success with Google.
59
:Now, our cold traffic in Google is good.
60
:That's why, with a 40 percent
reduction in Google Meta traffic are
61
:orders didn't decrease, but there is
a increase in return customer rate.
62
:So this could be a false positive for
the short term until that atrophies
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:because returning customers can
only buy so many water filters.
64
:so the data is already starting to support
our theory about what's going to happen.
65
:Yeah, so if we look at new customers,
since March 21st, this is when
66
:they switched to remarketing.
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:February 4th, March 20th.
68
:Okay.
69
:is what we get to compare that to.
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:So 1.
71
:they lost 26 new customers.
72
:between them turning off meta and going
to remarketing, but since they lost 33
73
:new customers, it was falsely added up to.
74
:now we have a few
existing return customers.
75
:And it looks like only just recently here.
76
:I think that's one of the
reasons why since the 28th, we're
77
:probably having some good success.
78
:Yeah.
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:There's your success here.
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:Success here.
81
:81 percent more orders, but that came
from all the returning customers.
82
:it could have been a restock.
83
:It looks like they're using a lot
of in app ROAS to be like, yeah,
84
:we're successful, but they're
missing the forest for the trees, but
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:they really are stuck on the ROAS.
86
:Yeah.
87
:Yeah.
88
:That sounds about right.
89
:That's why this thing's all flip floppy.
90
:I would draw them a bigger picture.
91
:Say if we take a step back and we don't
take any sort of in app platform metrics
92
:and distill what's going on here.
93
:they'll like that joke.
94
:Then we look at the loss of their
cold traffic has done, a small
95
:number, in decline of new customers.
96
:It's been recently made up
with existing customers.
97
:But those existing customers will
become less valuable over time because
98
:they're going to be doing replacement
filters, which is also why they probably
99
:saw a spike up in return customer
rate and the drop of their AOV by 38%.
100
:and those are gonna be like, gasket set
parts, and plastic lids, and a switch.
101
:So they're a couple of takeaways
is losing core product,
102
:sales, new customers are down.
103
:33 from the switch to remarketing.
104
:What does Google say
in the last seven days?
105
:I would imagine that's probably
showing some, Dura still distiller
106
:parts that might be coming from
their existing customers or people.
107
:People have purchased from them before
that forgot about water distillers.
108
:com because that is a very generic
name and not only resellers are
109
:not investing in their brand.
110
:so that makes a lot of sense,
especially if jurors still
111
:went out of stock somewhere.
112
:This is like woohoo free existing
customers that probably didn't
113
:buy from us before they had a
backlog issue several months ago.
114
:They ordered well in advance
because they had been having
115
:procurement issues for a while.
116
:Makes sense.
117
:It's cool when you come
and take a step back.
118
:And once you start, looking at these
things, I would say, in app ROAS on meta
119
:is most likely up 100 percent or more.
120
:that'd be a good question.
121
:In app ROAS is most likely
100 percent or more.
122
:Yes.
123
:But that's also because we're
No hemorrhaging our own clients.
124
:return customer rate is up 30 percent
which is offsetting the top line
125
:metrics to a, slightly down trend.
126
:But our future business is at risk.
127
:if you're measuring business
performance year over year.
128
:This is down 30%, down 50% down
30% down 13% because that's up 42%.
129
:so this is what's interesting
is this here is floating.
130
:That these here are all metrics.
131
:So these are your correlating metrics.
132
:Your return customer rates up
'cause they're buying refillables.
133
:And because of your own customers
it's up because, they, they trust you.
134
:But our top line is we're going to
see a slow decay and that's why year
135
:over year, this will say, we need
a cold traffic, channel to push.
136
:Now performance max can probably do that.
137
:it may not, It's a full build.
138
:It's a Okay.
139
:What is enabled?
140
:Standard chopping is not
really the answer here.
141
:it could be because they're going to be
doing a lot of remarketing on meta, but
142
:I think that their meta was actually
performing better than what they saw.
143
:They were just judging it wrong.
144
:actually let me do that
and do this theoretic.
145
:so if we did January to the 19th year
over year, What was going on between
146
:October, 2023 and December, 2023.
147
:Do you remember?
148
:Oh, I don't know.
149
:I just took over and I don't believe
we touched on that during the meeting.
150
:it might have been the stock issues
that, that was a kind of a pervasive
151
:issue for them for a little bit.
152
:but yeah, from a marketing standpoint,
I know they've been reducing their
153
:budget gradually from, I think
they were at 8, 000 and they've
154
:been trickling down to 3, 500.
155
:so that might be a factor.
156
:Yeah, it looks like when everything
was being pushed, especially on
157
:Facebook, Your direct is going to go up.
158
:Your social is going to go up.
159
:So your search is going to
go up, just not as much.
160
:Cause it's going to be the return brand.
161
:but this is year over year, fourth
quarter, 23 to fourth quarter, 22.
162
:Now, fourth quarter is going to be always
like, the land of milk and honey, Oh,
163
:that's a burkey ver like, competitor.
164
:I would definitely push less
hard into metal remarketing.
165
:That was too big of a shift.
166
:. Your in-app.
167
:Rowa is gonna look amazing
until you're out of business.
168
:so that'd be the first thing to say is,
Hey, trying to do good by your business.
169
:This is not something that is sustainable.
170
:Half the traffic is not sustainable.
171
:I would say, and then make the
mention that the mix between meta
172
:and performance max is performance.
173
:Max is going to remarket heavy and if
metas remarketing heavy remarketing
174
:is always going to have a better row
as just like brand, it always will
175
:just at very much lower volumes.
176
:it's almost a fact of do you
want high profitability or do
177
:you want, scale or a mix of both?
178
:If you want high profitability,
then just hang tight here.
179
:if you want profitability and scale, we
need to start pushing more cold traffic.
180
:The sources that the source as to which
I would recommend would be in meta
181
:just because it's an election year.
182
:And this is where we're going to
start to see more prepper mentality
183
:closer and closer to the election.
184
:There's also Trump is on trial.
185
:he is of the base.
186
:I would say that this is
probably going to mostly with.
187
:And the results of those trials could
cause potential for the theoretical,
188
:socioeconomic or not socioeconomic,
but just the social climates really.
189
:so I think he may be missing a mark on
capitalizing his base, during probably one
190
:of the most important times of the year.
191
:Yeah.
192
:so even if we just don't put all back
into where, into there, but I would say
193
:that's, that would be the angle I would
begin to test and then watch top line.
194
:there's, you can see extreme correlations
between their shifts and what they've
195
:been making now, what in a bro as
potentially would look like, but what's
196
:actually going on in this business.
197
:What I really want to do is, yeah, I
really wanted to get us that access to
198
:facebook so we can take a look and then,
hopefully softly convince him to let
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:us take over as meta so we can do this.
200
:All together in house instead of trying
to fight with his meta people and
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:fight with him and, that's the goal.
202
:the thing I would say is, hey, if
you're going to do all remarketing,
203
:why don't we just do all brand?
204
:You're going to have, TEDx's
across the board easy.
205
:Now, no one ever find you again, but all
of that returning customer every day,
206
:we're going to go down to the 30 percent
of people that are left, which is fine
207
:because apparently Google can go down only
to 50 percent of the people that are left.
208
:So why don't we just make the full shift
in there and just, ride out that high
209
:amount of volume until, we part ways.
210
:would honestly ask him that, just
say, Hey, not to be exaggerated,
211
:but if we're 50 percent of the
meta traffic, why don't we cut out,
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:50 percent of the Google traffic?
213
:we're going to be down a hundred
percent year over year, but
214
:it'd be extremely profitable.
215
:No, I don't want to do that.
216
:we've already made one of those changes.
217
:So I'm asking, I'm curious
as to why that's okay.
218
:We were halfway there.
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:So all it is to be said is when
you poise those questions, you want
220
:to get them thinking differently.
221
:Looking at Navarro, I'd be like, crap,
we can do the same thing on Google.
222
:All I have to do is just go after your
brand name and then boom, amazing results.
223
:Yeah, we're already 50
percent of the way there.
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:If we go a hundred percent of the way.
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:Yeah, you cut out 77 percent of your
traffic and make, 50 percent of the sales.
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:Great.
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:that's pretty cool.
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:Look at that.
229
:You look at how much profit there minus
77 minus 53, that 20 percent right
230
:there is just pure cash in the bank.
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:Why would we do that again?
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:I don't want to do that.
233
:so why don't we think about how
to slowly push rather than just,
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:cut off one leg in a marathon.
235
:Yeah, lots of work.
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:Thanks, John.
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:You got it.